Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.317785 0.341726 0.367287 0.396723 0.429834 0.466099 0.509059
2025-02-09 0.268591 0.303363 0.343400 0.393499 0.455379 0.530506 0.630555
2025-02-16 0.232772 0.272181 0.320097 0.383948 0.468923 0.581480 0.748201
2025-02-23 0.210501 0.252936 0.306835 0.382504 0.489926 0.643976 0.897036
2025-03-02 0.191699 0.235150 0.292221 0.375722 0.500717 0.692602 1.039001
2025-03-09 0.176590 0.220256 0.279199 0.368468 0.508334 0.736539 1.186971
2025-03-16 0.164452 0.208028 0.268243 0.362224 0.515605 0.780399 1.350691
2025-03-23 0.158157 0.203160 0.266964 0.369962 0.546139 0.871483 1.654019
2025-03-30 0.149383 0.193986 0.258394 0.364945 0.553686 0.920826 1.887554
2025-04-06 0.139122 0.181926 0.244474 0.349623 0.540264 0.924507 2.003977
2025-04-13 0.129973 0.170942 0.231399 0.334400 0.524859 0.920662 2.098882
2025-04-20 0.125950 0.167283 0.229309 0.337466 0.544506 0.999208 2.510001
2025-04-27 0.124219 0.167170 0.233109 0.351820 0.590451 1.158844 3.410116
2025-05-04 0.119727 0.162637 0.229593 0.352967 0.610177 1.262728 4.267217
2025-05-11 0.114096 0.156021 0.222204 0.346220 0.611809 1.318789 5.005093
2025-05-18 0.110045 0.151649 0.218226 0.345488 0.626994 1.422474 6.332421
2025-05-25 0.105484 0.146210 0.212056 0.339842 0.629690 1.488839 7.639334
2025-06-01 0.101201 0.140997 0.205927 0.333660 0.630070 1.548761 9.199458
2025-06-08 0.097381 0.136342 0.200471 0.328297 0.631633 1.614986 11.295476
2025-06-15 0.095718 0.135110 0.200902 0.334980 0.665586 1.826445 17.967527
2025-06-22 0.092524 0.131194 0.196304 0.330657 0.669290 1.916108 24.040327
2025-06-29 0.088240 0.125295 0.187844 0.317418 0.646278 1.875744 25.661855
2025-07-06 0.084193 0.119664 0.179642 0.304225 0.621929 1.822335 26.546619